DOTALEDGERPatch7.41e
Events2 min readUpdated July 5, 2026

Dota 2 Candy Shop: Historical Odds Archive

Historical Candy Shop archive: event status, reward pool and exact odds are not verified.

Festival banner scene with treasure chests, tickets, and event-themed cosmetic shapes
Original Dota Ledger editorial illustration; this is not official Valve artwork.

This is a historical Candy Shop archive. The repository does not verify current Crownfall status, reward availability, pool contents, Candy costs or exact reroll odds.

Use only independently verified inputs

The manual Candy calculator does not preload event status, pools, costs or odds.

How the reroll system works

Historical descriptions refer to rerolls, but this archive has no verified rules record. Do not infer an available reward, a probability or an expected Candy cost from the existence of that mechanic.

Arcana odds are unavailable

No exact Arcana probability or reroll count is verified in the local taxonomy or this archive. Current store availability and price are also not verified; check the exact item and event rules independently.

Expected value, not luck

Expected value requires a complete reward pool, exact probabilities and comparable values. Without them, leave the result unknown. The manual Candy archive calculator reports only user-entered assumptions.

When the grind is worth it

This archive cannot recommend grinding, opening or buying because event availability, rules, odds and exact rewards are not verified. For a market item, inspect the saved catalog context and verify the exact listing.

The bottom line

Keep unknown inputs unknown. The Crownfall page is also a historical archive and does not establish an active event.

Sources and methodology

Internal pages show dated Dota Ledger observations, not the whole market, completed sales, or executable offers. Valve and Steam links support only the historical rules or features described on those pages; verify the current status of the exact item separately.