Dota 2 Candy Calculator for Crownfall Rerolls
Historical-event calculator. Enter the reroll cost and chance from the specific archived event rules you are reviewing; this models the resulting rerolls and Candy only. It does not describe a live Candy Shop.
Archive notice: no event configuration, dates, reward pool, or odds are supplied here. Enter only mechanics you can independently verify for the historical event.
Enter a value.
These are averages from the manual odds you enter — luck runs both ways. "50% within" and "90% within" show how wide the range really is. For historical context, read the Candy Shop drop-chances guide.
Historical reroll math
This archive calculator assumes independently supplied, constant per-reroll probability p. Under that assumption, the expected number of rerolls is 1 ÷ p. Multiply by the entered Candy per reroll for the modeled total. It does not confirm that an event used constant odds or that any event is active.
The catch is variance. "Expected" is the long-run average; any individual historical scenario can finish far sooner or drag on far longer. The 50% and 90% thresholds show the result implied by your inputs, not a promise about live rewards, availability, or store alternatives.
Keep the event context with the calculation
Record where your archived mechanics came from before comparing a manual scenario with market alternatives.
Related guides
Frequently asked questions
Does this page provide current Candy Shop odds?
No. This is an archive calculator with manual inputs. It does not provide current event status, reward pools, odds, reroll prices, or dates.
How is the expected number of rerolls calculated?
If each reroll has probability p of landing the reward, the expected number of rerolls is 1 ÷ p. For example, a 0.6% chance gives about 167 rerolls on average. Multiply by the Candy per reroll to get expected Candy spent.
What do the 50% and 90% figures mean?
They show the distribution implied by the manually entered constant probability. The 50% and 90% figures are model thresholds, not guarantees for an event or reward pool.
Can this decide whether a Candy Shop reward was worth it?
No. It only calculates the result implied by manual historical assumptions. Event availability, rules, pools, prices and odds require separate dated evidence.